Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.572758 4.164617 4.791365 5.501296 6.279927 7.104857 8.041813
2024-12-29 2.781558 3.610842 4.550317 5.679735 6.987065 8.439850 10.163263
2025-01-05 2.230768 3.202968 4.373809 5.855093 7.646966 9.714079 12.248089
2025-01-12 1.786010 2.830809 4.164364 5.931222 8.151832 10.795058 14.122993
2025-01-19 1.397269 2.453834 3.883505 5.863427 8.441193 11.596812 15.663575
2025-01-26 1.157517 2.233984 3.768466 5.975382 8.933611 12.637546 17.499340
2025-02-02 0.964671 2.044926 3.664168 6.076045 9.394928 13.633732 19.286620
2025-02-09 0.751218 1.779841 3.413228 5.941949 9.520650 14.187252 20.513203
2025-02-16 0.581082 1.549841 3.181952 5.806418 9.621360 14.693413 21.672930
2025-02-23 0.470790 1.403129 3.060165 5.813885 9.908168 15.439696 23.145276
2025-03-02 0.364047 1.235609 2.880773 5.713889 10.027720 15.953521 24.312271
2025-03-09 0.320465 1.192593 2.907983 5.932273 10.608494 17.100304 26.329780
2025-03-16 0.256383 1.086962 2.815063 5.957853 10.914954 17.890185 27.906176
2025-03-23 0.230918 1.071269 2.886441 6.254487 11.634331 19.268663 30.299066
2025-03-30 0.202624 1.039827 2.923285 6.493075 12.270697 20.541383 32.567254
2025-04-06 0.166921 0.974572 2.884877 6.598730 12.703258 21.531116 34.461515
2025-04-13 0.125439 0.872221 2.756319 6.536780 12.869050 22.138787 35.835528
2025-04-20 0.103064 0.824481 2.736271 6.662470 13.328898 23.173137 37.808850
2025-04-27 0.083591 0.777304 2.710474 6.773274 13.763941 24.174320 39.743881
2025-05-04 0.057014 0.679379 2.553571 6.629896 13.781006 24.560289 40.818880
2025-05-11 0.037116 0.590965 2.402872 6.484283 13.784008 24.919394 41.854508
2025-05-18 0.026193 0.539517 2.335400 6.492563 14.038058 25.652207 43.424805
2025-05-25 0.015890 0.472653 2.214520 6.384813 14.090266 26.078779 44.559228